Swiss Re Institute estimates USD 83 billion global insured catastrophe losses in 2020, the fifth-costliest on record

16 December 2020 — Alexandra GUZUN
According to Swiss Re Institute's preliminary sigma estimates, in 2020 the insurance industry has lost from natural catastrophes and man-made disasters globally an amount of USD 83 billion. This makes it the fifth-costliest year for the industry since 1970.

  • Natural catastrophes caused USD 76 billion of global insured losses, up 40% from 2019, mostly from secondary peril events such as severe convective storms and wildfires in the US
  • Very active hurricane season with record number of named storms, but only moderate insured losses of USD 20 billion
  • Losses from secondary peril events are forecast to increase, driven by climate change

The insurance industry covered 45% of global economic losses in 2020, above the ten-year-average of 37%. Losses were driven by a record number of severe convective storms (thunderstorms with tornadoes, floods and hail) and wildfires in the US.

"As with COVID-19, climate change will be a huge test of global resilience. Neither pandemics nor climate change are 'black swan' events. But while COVID-19 has an expiry date, climate change does not, and failure to 'green' the global economic recovery now will increase costs for society in future. This year's natural disasters impacted regions with more insurance cover in place, providing vital support to the people and communities affected and enhancing their financial resilience." said Jerome Jean Haegeli, Swiss Re Group Chief Economist.

In the US, a record number of severe convective storms caused devastation throughout the year, likely leading to record annual losses in the country for this peril. Australia and Canada suffered significant losses from hail damage in 2020. In January, hailstorms in southeastern Australia caused insured losses of over USD 1 billion, while Canada experienced its costliest-ever hail event in Calgary in June, which led to losses of USD 1 billion.

Fires also contributed to secondary peril losses for insurers. Wildfires in the US from mid-August chiefly caused the high insured losses, though Australia's 2019 fire season, the longest and most destructive ever recorded, was still burning in early 2020. In the US states of California, Oregon and Washington State, more than 800 wildfires burned close to 6 million acres, destroying thousands of structures and triggering billions in insured claims. Although less than the record losses of 2018 and 2017, 2020 will be one of the costliest for fires.

The North Atlantic hurricane season brought a record 30 named storms in 2020, including five named storms making landfall in the US state of Louisiana alone, again the highest on record. This year a uniquely conducive set of atmospheric and oceanic conditions was predicted to generate a well-above-average number of storms and landfalls. However, most US landfalls did not hit densely populated areas in 2020, resulting in relatively low insured losses of USD 20 billion, far lower than in the previous record hurricane seasons of 2017 (Harvey, Irma and Maria: USD 97 billion) and 2005 (Katrina: USD 87 billion).

Martin Bertogg, Head of Cat Perils at Swiss Re declared: "Large-scale climate conditions in the North Atlantic suggest elevated hurricane activity for 2021 and likely beyond. This increases the probability of a catastrophic landfall. Combined with the loss impact of secondary perils accelerated by climate change, insured catastrophe losses will only rise in the future."


Source: www.swissre.com

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