According to Fitch Ratings, easing inflation, high interest rates and regulatory action are supporting sector earnings and resilience, although risks persist from economic volatility and challenges in MTPL.
GWP surged by 73% in 2024, driven by health, motor and property insurance. Health insurance premiums increased by 89%, reflecting heightened demand as public health services deteriorate. MTPL premiums rose by 86%, boosted by a new pricing indexation system, while property insurance premiums also grew significantly, reflecting increased customer awareness of natural disaster risks, the rating agency said.
However, Fitch expects overall underwriting profitability to remain challenged, with a sector combined ratio of about 110% in 2025. Motor damage and property lines are likely to be profitable, but the health segment faces intense competition, and MTPL remains structurally loss-making, with a 2024 combined ratio of 145%. The premium cap indexing mechanism introduced in May 2024 and a one-off 14% premium increase in February 2025 have reduced MTPL underwriting losses, but regulatory price caps still prevent risk-based pricing.
Fitch expects the Turkish insurance sector to likely grow further in 2H2025 on relative macroeconomic stability and a stabilising operating environment, and earnings to be strong again in 2025, supported by stronger pricing and strong investment income due to high interest rates, the source added.
8594 views